Seasonality of tourism demand in Turkey: a multi-methodical analysis


YABANCI O.

Current Issues in Tourism, cilt.27, sa.12, ss.1930-1946, 2024 (SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 27 Sayı: 12
  • Basım Tarihi: 2024
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1080/13683500.2023.2217350
  • Dergi Adı: Current Issues in Tourism
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus, ABI/INFORM, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), CAB Abstracts, Geobase, Hospitality & Tourism Complete, Hospitality & Tourism Index, PAIS International, Veterinary Science Database
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1930-1946
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: seasonal demand, Seasonality, tourism, tourist accommodations
  • Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Analyzing seasonality in the modern tourism industry is essential for successful organization and destination management. The purpose of this paper is therefore to provide an in-depth analysis of seasonality in the main destinations in Turkey. The methods used include the seasonal index of the time series model, the seasonality indicator, the Gini coefficient, the Theil index, the Lorenz Curve, and the coefficient of variation. The results suggest that domestic tourism was moderately seasonal, whereas inbound tourism was highly seasonal during 2017–2020. Moreover, capacity utilization on average was approximately half of the relative capacity, which indicates a substantial discrepancy. One of the salient findings of this study is that the novel coronavirus disease has aggravated the seasonal fluctuations in the country’s tourism demand. In addition, the paper provides an adjustment to an interpretation of the Gini coefficient.