Can Serum β-hCG Values Measured after Embryo Transfer Predict Live Birth in Both Fresh and Frozen Transfers?


Elmas B., TOPKARA SUCU S., Kadoglu B. G., Ozturk M., Ozturk O., Ceyhan S. T.

JCPSP-JOURNAL OF THE COLLEGE OF PHYSICIANS AND SURGEONS PAKISTAN, cilt.35, sa.10, ss.1335-1339, 2025 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier identifier identifier

Özet

Objective: To determine the threshold R-hCG values that can predict the live birth (LB) rates in in vitro fertilisation-embryo transfer (IVF-ET) cycles, and to compare these serum R-hCG values separately in fresh and frozen embryo transfers. Study Design: Case-control study. Place and Duration of the Study: Department of Gynaecology and Obstetrics, University of Health Sciences Gulhane Training and Research Hospital, Ankara, Turkiye, between January 2017 and January 2023. Methodology: Serum R-hCG values of patients who underwent single embryo transfer on Day 5 were measured on Days 12 and 14 after transfer. The patients were divided into two groups: pregnancies that resulted in live birth (LB (+)) and pregnancies that did not result in live birth (LB (-)). The two groups were compared in terms of serum R-hCG values and R-hCG increase rates on the 12th and 14th days after transfer. Results: The median R-hCG value measured on day 12 in fresh transfers resulting in LB was found to be 277 IU/L. However, this value was found to be 332 IU/L in frozen transfers. When all transfers were considered without discrimination, it was concluded that the R-hCG test could predict LB with a sensitivity of 75% and a specificity of 72% at a value of 197 IU/L. Conclusion: A cut-off value of 197 IU/L was found to be a strong parameter to predict LB in all transfers, regardless of whether the transfer was fresh or frozen. It will guide clinicians in predicting pregnancy outcomes and counselling patients.